Assessment of the global status of COVID-19 epidemics / 公共卫生与预防医学

Objective To analyze the global status of COVID-19 epidemics, so as to preliminarily forecast the epidemic trend. Methods The epidemiological data of 208 countries and the prevention and control policies implemented by typical countries from December 31, 2019 to December 14, 2020 were collected. We use the cumulative incidence rate, cumulative mortality, cumulative fatality and real-time dependent reproduction number (Rt) to analyze the epidemic status. We use the provenance package to group different countries and discuss the effect of prevention and control measures. Results As of December 14, 2020, a cumulative incidence of 93.49 per 10000, a cumulative mortality rate of 0.21‰, and a cumulative fatality rate of 3.1‰ had been reported globally.112 of the 208 countries still had Rt ≥ 1.0, and 96 countries had Rt t , and the government had adopted more relaxed epidemic prevention measures. The epidemic situation in this region may continue to deteriorate, and needs to be focused in the later period.

Estimation of hospitalization rate of laboratory confirmed influenza cases in Jingzhou city, Hubei province, 2010-2012 / 中华流行病学杂志

<p><b>OBJECTIVE</b>To estimate the hospitalization rate of severe acute respiratory infection (SARI) cases attributable to influenza in Jingzhou city, Hubei province from 2010 to 2012.</p><p><b>METHODS</b>SARI surveillance was conducted at four hospitals in Jingzhou city, Hubei province from 2010 to 2012. Inpatients meeting the SARI case definition and with informed consent were enrolled to collect their demographic information, clinical features, treatment, and disease outcomes, with their respiratory tract specimens collected for PCR test of influenza virus.</p><p><b>RESULTS</b>From April, 2010 to September, 2012, 19 679 SARI cases enrolled were residents of Jingzhou, and nasopharyngeal swab was collected from 18 412 (93.6%) cases of them to test influenza virus and 13.3% were positive for influenza. During the three consecutive 2010-2012 flu seasons, laboratory-confirmed influenza was associated with 102 per 100 000, 132 per 100 000 and 244 per 100 000, respectively. As for the hospitalization rate attributable to specific type/subtype of influenza virus, 48 per 100 000, 30 per 100 000 and 24 per 100 000 were attributable to A (H3N2), A (H1N1) pdm2009, and influenza B, respectively in 2010-2011 season; 42 per 100 000 [A (H3N2)] and 90 per 100 000 (influenza B) in 2011-2012 season; 90 per 100 000 [A (H3N2)] and one per 100 000 [influenza B] from April, 2010 to September, 2012. SARI hospitalization caused by influenza A or B occurred both mainly among children younger than five years old, with the peak in children aged 0.5 year old.</p><p><b>CONCLUSION</b>Influenza could cause a substantial number of hospitalizations and different viral type/subtype result in different hospitalizations over influenza seasons in Jingzhou city, Hubei province. Children less than five years old should be prioritized for influenza vaccination in China.</p>

Sequence variation in the env V3-V4 region of human immunodeficiency virus-1 predominant subtype B strains in Hubei Province / 中华传染病杂志

Objective To study the sequence variation in the env V3-V4 human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-1 predominant subtype B strains in Hubei Province and to understand the epidemic characteristics and mutations of HIV-1. Methods Epidemiologic survey was done in the HIV-1 carriers in Hubei area. HIV-1 env V3-V4 regions were amplified by nested-polymerase chain reaction (nPCR). The sequences were determined and then phylogenetic analysis was performed. The difference of gene distance were checked by chi square test and the variation of gene distance were descriptively analyzed. Results Four HIV-1 strains or circulating recombinant forms (CRF) were identified in Hubei Province subtype B', B'/C, CRF01_AE and C were 82.69%, 7.69%, 7.69% and 1.92% ,respectively. B' strains were closely related with B. CN. RL 42 from Yunnan Province and B. CN. 02. 02HN from Province Henan, the gene distances were 7.08 ± 2.19 and 7.88 ± 2.28, respectively. Genetic divergence of env of B' strains showed that subtype B' has existed in Hubei area for about 10 years. Amino acid sequence analysis of section env showed V4 was more variable than C3, V3. The top four peptides of V3 loop were GPGR (46.5%), GPGK (30.2%), GPGQ (13.6%) and GQGR (9.3%). Predictions for the potential use of co-receptors on the basis of the critical amino acids within V3 loop disclosed that 16.28% were CCR5-using (R5/NSI), 13.95% were CXCR4-using (X4/SI) while the co-receptor usage of the vast majority (69.77%) could not be predicted. The analysis of glycosylation sites showed that there were 9 sites in env V3-V4 regions of HIV-1 strains in Hubei area and there were deletions in 8 of them, Conclusions Subtype B' is still the main epidemic subtype in Hubei Province and high homologous to the strains from Yunan and Henan Province.